445. (Q, r)
Continuous review, fixed order quantity. The most common stochastic-demand policy in textbooks and practice.
Decision rule: monitor inventory position continuously. When it drops to (or below) the reorder point , order a fixed quantity .
Two parameters:
- = order quantity (a fixed batch every time)
- = reorder point (the trigger level)
445.0.1. Setup
Random demand with rate per unit time and standard deviation . Lead time (constant for now). Holding cost , fixed order cost , plus a service-level requirement (e.g., for 95% cycle service level).
Inventory position . Continuous review means we always know it.
445.0.2. Inventory profile
Sawtooth shape, but with random consumption rate:
- Inventory drains stochastically.
- When position hits , a Q-unit order is placed; arrives time later.
- During lead time, demand consumes random draw from a distribution with mean and std .
- Service level (probability of no stockout per cycle) = .
445.0.3. Set — the reorder point
To meet cycle service level :
where:
- (expected demand during lead time)
- (std of lead-time demand, assuming i.i.d. periods)
- (standard-normal quantile for the desired service level)
The term is the safety stock — buffer for demand variability.
445.0.4. Set — the order quantity
When fixed cost is significant, use the EOQ formula:
(Approximate — exact joint optimization of and exists but EOQ is within a few % of optimal.)
445.0.5. Final formulas
Average inventory (approximation): , so total holding cost .
Example
Given (shared policy-comparison params):
- Annual demand: = 12,000 units/year ( units/day)
- Daily demand std: units/day
- Lead time: days (constant)
- Order cost: = $50 / order
- Holding cost: = $2 / unit / year
- Service level: 95% →
Step 1 — order quantity (EOQ)
Step 2 — lead-time demand statistics
Step 3 — reorder point
Safety stock: units.
Step 4 — interpret
Whenever inventory position drops to 493, place an order for 775. The order arrives 14 days later. Expected demand during those 14 days is 462; the extra 31 units of safety stock cover up-to-95th-percentile demand fluctuations.
Average ordering rate: orders / year. Average cycle length: days.
Average inventory: units. Annual holding cost: $838 / year. Annual ordering cost: $775 / year. Total: $1613 / year (vs $1549 for deterministic EOQ — the gap is the cost of safety stock).