384. Best Worst PWC
For any production line with bottleneck rate , raw processing time , and WIP level , throughput is bounded by three curves (Hopp & Spearman). Real lines fall between these curves.
384.1. Three curves
| Curve | Throughput TH | Cycle Time CT |
|---|---|---|
| Best case (deterministic) | ||
| Worst case (max variability) | ||
| Practical-Worst-Case (balanced) |
where is the critical WIP.
384.2. Interpretation
Best case: deterministic line, no variability. Throughput grows linearly until hitting bottleneck rate. Cycle time stays at until WIP exceeds capacity then grows linearly.
Worst case: pathological — all work at one station, batched. Throughput stays at no matter how much WIP. Useless line.
PWC: a “balanced random” baseline. Each station equally loaded with exponential variability. Real production lines should land near PWC if well-managed.
384.3. Critical WIP
The WIP at which best-case throughput reaches and best-case cycle time equals . Above :
- Best case: cycle time grows linearly with , throughput stays at
- PWC: cycle time grows linearly too, throughput approaches asymptotically
384.4. Take-aways
- If your real line’s throughput is well below the PWC curve, you have more variability than even PWC assumes — improve setups, breakdowns, batching
- If real cycle time is well above PWC, same — variability is the culprit
- Critical WIP is the sweet spot for CONWIP (constant WIP) control
384.5. Plot intuition
Throughput
r_b ┤ best ───────────────────────────────────────────────
│ / ╱ PWC asymptote
│/ ╱
│ ╱
│ ╱
│╱ worst ──────────────────────────────────────────
1/T_0
└─────────────────────────────────────────── WIP w
W_0
384.6. See also
- Critical WIP
- Factory Physics overview
- VUT — the underlying variability driver
- CONWIP