387. Best Worst PWC

For any production line with bottleneck rate 𝑟𝑏, raw processing time 𝑇0, and WIP level 𝑤, throughput is bounded by three curves (Hopp & Spearman). Real lines fall between these curves.

387.1. Three curves

CurveThroughput TH(𝑤)Cycle Time CT(𝑤)
Best case (deterministic)min(𝑤𝑇0,𝑟𝑏)max(𝑇0,𝑤𝑟𝑏)
Worst case (max variability)1𝑇0𝑤𝑇0
Practical-Worst-Case (balanced)(𝑤𝑊0+𝑤1)𝑟𝑏𝑇0+𝑤1𝑟𝑏

where 𝑊0=𝑟𝑏𝑇0 is the critical WIP.

387.2. Interpretation

Best case: deterministic line, no variability. Throughput grows linearly until hitting bottleneck rate. Cycle time stays at 𝑇0 until WIP exceeds capacity then grows linearly.

Worst case: pathological — all work at one station, batched. Throughput stays at 1𝑇0 no matter how much WIP. Useless line.

PWC: a “balanced random” baseline. Each station equally loaded with exponential variability. Real production lines should land near PWC if well-managed.

387.3. Critical WIP

𝑊0=𝑟𝑏𝑇0

The WIP at which best-case throughput reaches 𝑟𝑏 and best-case cycle time equals 𝑇0. Above 𝑊0:

387.4. Take-aways

387.5. Plot intuition

Throughput
 r_b ┤  best ───────────────────────────────────────────────
     │ /  ╱ PWC asymptote
     │/  ╱
     │  ╱
     │ ╱
     │╱  worst  ──────────────────────────────────────────
 1/T_0
     └─────────────────────────────────────────── WIP w
                W_0

387.6. See also